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IMF 2024 ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋ณ„ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์˜ˆ์ธก by VISUALCAPITALIST.com

๋ณธ๋ฌธ

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์ •๋ถ€๋Š” ์„ค๋ช…์ ˆ ์ค‘ ๋ฌผ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ์–ด๋Š ์ •๋„ ์žก์•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐํ–ˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์•„๋งˆ ์‹ค์ œ๋กœ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด๋‚˜ ๋งˆํŠธ์—์„œ ๊ณผ์ผ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋งŒ ํ•˜๋ ค๊ณ  ํ•  ๋•Œ๋„ ์‰ฝ๊ฒŒ ์ง€๊ฐ‘์ด ์—ด๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋˜ ๊ธฐ์–ต๋‚˜์‹ค ๊ฒ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •๋ถ€์˜ ์„ค๋ช…๊ณผ๋Š” ๋‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์„œ๋ฏผ๋“ค์ด ๊ฒฝํ—˜ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฌผ๊ฐ€๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋†’๊ณ  ๋”ฑํžˆ ๋‚ฎ์•„์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๋Š๋‚Œ๋„ ๋ฐ›์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋‹ˆ๊นŒ์š”. ์ด๋Ÿฐ ๋ฌธ์ œ๊ฐ€ ๋น„๋‹จ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ๋งŒ์˜ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ธ์ง€๋Š” ๋ชจ๋ฅด๊ฒ ์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ณ  ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์˜ ๊ณตํฌ๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ์ „ํ•œ ๋Š๋‚Œ์ธ๋ฐ์š”.

 

๊ตญ์ œํ†ตํ™”๊ธฐ๊ธˆ์˜ ์˜ฌํ•ด ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋ณ„ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์ „๋ง์€...


๊ตญ์ œํ†ตํ™”๊ธฐ๊ธˆ(IMF)์˜ ์˜ˆ์ธก์„ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ VISUAL CAPITALIST๊ฐ€ ์ •๋ฆฌํ•œ ์ด ์ธํฌ๊ทธ๋ž˜ํ”ฝ์€ 2024๋…„ ๊ฐ๊ตญ์˜ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์ƒํ™ฉ์„ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์ด ์™„ํ™”๋  ๊ฑธ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋˜๊ณ ๋Š” ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„์™€ ์šฐํฌ๋ผ์ด๋‚˜, ํ•˜๋งˆ์Šค์™€ ์ด์Šค๋ผ์—˜์€ ๋ฌผ๋ก  ํ™ํ•ด ์ชฝ ์ถฉ๋Œ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋ณ€์ˆ˜๋“ค์ด ๋งŽ์•„ ๊ณ ๋ฌผ๊ฐ€์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์••๋ ฅ์ด ์—ฌ์ „ํ•œ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ธ๋ฐ์š”.

 

 

World Economic Outlook, October 2023: Navigating Global Divergences

The latest โ€ฏWorld Economic Outlook reports signs that policy tightening is starting to cool activity despite core inflation proving persistent. Risks are more balanced as banking sector stress has receded, but they remain tilted to the downside.

www.imf.org


2024๋…„ ์„ธ๊ณ„์˜ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์€ 5.8%๋กœ 2023๋…„์˜ 6.8% ๋Œ€๋น„ ๋‚ฎ์•„์งˆ ๊ฑธ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋Š” ๋˜์ง€๋งŒ, ๋‚˜๋ผ๋ณ„๋กœ ์ƒํ™ฉ์€ ๊ฝค ๋‹ค๋ฆ…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฒ ๋„ค์ˆ˜์—˜๋ผ๋Š” 230%, ์ง๋ฐ”๋ธŒ์›จ 190.2%, ์ˆ˜๋‹จ 127.3%, ์•„๋ฅดํ—จํ‹ฐ๋‚˜ 69.5%, ํŠ€๋ฅดํ‚ค์˜ˆ 54.3%, ์ด์ง‘ํŠธ 25.9%, ์•™๊ณจ๋ผ 25.6%, ์ด๋ž€ 25%, ๋ถ€๋ฃฌ๋”” 22.4%, ์‹œ์—๋ผ๋ฆฌ์˜จ 21.7% ๋“ฑ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์‹ฌํ•œ ๊ณ ๋ฌผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ์˜ˆ์ธก๋˜๋Š” ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค์ด ๋‹ค์ˆ˜ ์กด์žฌํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ข€ ๋” ํ˜„์‹ค์ ์ด๊ณ  ๊ฐ€๊นŒ์šด ์ชฝ์œผ๋กœ ๋ˆˆ์„ ๋Œ๋ฆฌ๋ฉด ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ๋Š” 2%, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ 2.6%, ์ค‘๊ตญ์€ 1.9%, ์ผ๋ณธ์€ 2.6% ๋“ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์œผ ์˜ˆ์ธก๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋”๋ผ๊ณ ์š”. ์›Œ๋‚™ ์ƒํ™œ๋ฌผ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์ด ์˜ฌ๋ผ์„œ 2% ์ •๋„๋งŒ ์˜ค๋ฅธ๋‹ค๋ฉด ์–‘๋ฐ˜์ด๋‹ค ์‹ถ์ง€๋งŒ. ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์˜ค๋ฅด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์ถ”์„ธ์—์„œ 2%๊ฐ€ ๋” ์˜ค๋ฅธ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๋ฉด ๋ฌด์„ญ๋„ค์š”. ๋‚ด ์›”๊ธ‰ ๋นผ๊ณค ๋‹ค ์˜ค๋ฅด๋Š” ์ด ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ์–ธ์ œ๊นŒ์ง€ ์ด์–ด์งˆ์ง€. ์˜ฌํ•ด๋Š” ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ๋„ ์„ธ๊ณ„๋„ ์ข€ ๋” ์•ˆ์ •ํ™”๋˜๊ธธ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ํ•ด ๋ด…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.


 

Mapped: Inflation Projections by Country, in 2024

Global economic prospects hang on a delicate balance, largely hinging on the path of inflation.

posts.voronoiapp.com

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